FROM OUR BLOG
September 2, 2025

Market Pulse — September 2025

Actual vs. Monthly Trend

Metric Current Value Month-over-Month Change
Median Close Price $607,000 +1.51 %
Active Listings 11,964 +22.53 %
Months of Inventory 3.08 months +10.79 %
National Avg. 30‑Yr Fixed ~6.53 %** Flat / slight uptick

**According to Mortgage News Daily, the current national average for a 30‑year fixed-rate mortgage is about 6.53 % as of September 2, 2025


Deep Dive Insights

Inventory & Price Dynamics (Denver Metro)

  • Active inventory is surging—detached homes up ~26.6% MoM; attached homes up ~15.5%

  • Yet, median sale prices remain resilient: ~$665,000 for detached (+0.76 % MoM), ~$389,900 for attached (+0.55 % MoM)

  • In March, Denver’s median sale price was $599,000—down 3.9% from the historic peak in early 2025

Mortgage Rate Trends (OBMMI & MBS)

  • The Optimal Blue OBMMI 30-year conforming index is roughly 6.29% as of early September 2025, pointing to a market that may be favorable for refinancing

  • Mortgage News Daily reports that MBS prices have slipped slightly, which tends to push mortgage rates up slightly, though fluctuations today remain minimal

Buyer-Leverage Conditions

Ideal Market for Buyers:

  • Inventory: ideally >6 months

  • Active Listings: high and increasing

  • Home Prices: stable or declining

  • Mortgage Rates: stable or falling

Current Reality:

  • Inventory remains below balanced-market thresholds (~3.1 months).

  • Price increases persist, though modest, and listings are rising swiftly.

  • Rates are stable but elevated—overall, the scales still lean toward sellers, albeit with narrowing leverage for them.


Market Summary Snapshot

We’re observing a more balanced market—a shift from extreme seller advantage earlier in 2025. Buyers with readiness and certainty can find opportunities, especially as rates stabilize and inventory expands.


Why It Matters for Your Clients

  • Encourage buyers to act decisively while leverage remains attainable.

  • Highlight growing listings in marketing as motivation for timely engagement.

  • Keep an eye on OBMMI and MBS trends—markets at ~6.3% are ripe for strategic refinancing messaging.

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